MEXC Historical Alert Winners

A sanitized after-action view of the Discord MEXC alert backfill. It separates the simple fixed target/stop model from the trailing-stop research model, and shows what happened if each resolved trade used 100 USDT notional.

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Resolved fixed trades-target/stop/ambiguous

Fixed hit rate-closed trades only

100 USDT net-neutral same-candle row

ROI on deployed-closed notional only

Profit factor-gross wins / gross losses

Trailing 100 USDT-alternate exit model

Take-home

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Fixed-target P/L is not the same as R-multiple expectancy because the old historical alerts used very different stop widths. The tables below now split results by action category, source/lane, and stop-distance bucket so the damage is visible instead of hidden inside one headline hit rate.

Winner write-up

Largest fixed-target winners from the historical Discord backfill, ranked by 100 USDT paper P/L.

Strategy buckets

The broad lesson is in the buckets: pullback triggers carried the historical sample; broad momentum-entry rows were dragged down by repeated wide-stop losers.

Open public JSON

Action	Fixed closed	Hit rate	Fixed net	Trailing net	Avg risk	PF
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Ambiguity rule

Source and lane

Separates old active/proposal style alerts from the cleaner pullback-trigger lane.

Source / lane	Alerts	Fixed closed	Hit rate	Fixed net	Trailing net	Avg risk
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Stop-distance buckets

The practical risk control view: fixed 100 USDT losses scale directly with the original stop width.

Stop distance	Alerts	Fixed closed	Hit rate	Fixed net	Trailing net	PF
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Top winners

Sanitized rows only: no Discord channel IDs, message IDs, raw embeds or message links.

Alerted	Symbol	Action	Source	Risk	Entry	Stop	Target	Fixed P/L	Trailing P/L	Max R	Exit
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Largest fixed-stop losses

These are the rows that make the sub-40% hit rate acceptable or unacceptable. Wide stops matter more than the hit-rate headline.

Alerted	Symbol	Action	Source	Risk	Entry	Stop	Target	Fixed P/L	Trailing P/L	Max R	Exit
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